Category: POLITICS

 

On January 20th, 2025, a time-tested process of peaceably turning over the reins of power in the world’s oldest functioning democracy, from one Chief Executive to another, will take place.   Not that there isn’t  some drama proceeding this event, as has often been the case from the founding of the nation under the current Constitution.  One only has to go back to the proceeding inauguration of President Joseph Biden on January 21st, 2021 to see how dramatic it can be.

The Constitution was structured to avoid a direct democracy securing the executive.  Each state is empowered to provide a slate of electors proportional to its elected legislative contribution, who based upon and  subsequent to the November election, meet in December of the election year as an Electoral College to submit the vote  for a President and Vice President executive.   On January 6th of the following year, the newly elected Congress is to certify the Electoral College vote, officially electing the two executive officers.  Two weeks later, the Chief Executive, the President is sworn in under the auspices of an inaugural ceremony.

Well, that’s at least how it’s supposed to work.

The assumption is the Electors are to accurately reflect the electoral outcome of the state they represent.  The 2020 election outcome was however fraught with concerns regarding its integrity, and was challenged by one of the candidates to the extent that there was talk about some states presenting alternate elector slates.  The tension exploded on January 6th, with a riot breaking out outside the Capitol building as the legislature inside was undertaking  the certification vote, intense enough to be politically described by the winning party as an “insurrection”.  An effort to impeach President Trump  for a second time on January 13th, 2021, based upon his supposed incitement of the effort to delay the certification of the electoral vote was approved by the House of Representatives.   Incoming President Biden aggressively directed his Department of Justice to pursue harsh retribution for the “insurrectionists”, and the second Trump impeachment concluded with a Senate acquittal, for the first time an impeachment adjudicated  three weeks after the impeached executive was no longer President.

If everything this time goes smoothly, the aforementioned twice impeached and  imperiled 45th President, Donald Trump, will be sworn in as the 47th President of the United States, at the January 20th, 2025 Presidential Inauguration ceremony.

No one ever said this democracy thing wasn’t interesting.

The Inauguration ceremony that is going to culminate in the improbable return to the Presidency of Donald John Trump has much to contribute to  the colorful fabric of the American story.  For those assuming Donald Trump is a one-off to special circumstances or controversy framing the process, a look back at some of the nation’s inaugurations tells a different tale…

First Inauguration of  the 1st President George Washington –  April 30th, 1789 :  The very first Inauguration holds many unique qualities.  First of all – it was the first.   With the deficiencies of the Articles of Confederation becoming more and more apparent, a Constitutional Convention met in 1787 to develop a federal Constitution, eventually, establishing with some tumult,  a bicameral legislature, Chief Executive, and Judicial branch. Finally approved by a majority of states in September of 1788, the mechanisms for the first federal governing bodies were set on a timetable for the official start for the new government on March 4th, 1789. The second Article, establishing the Electoral College mechanism for electing a President and Vice President, was put into play for the first time, and, predictably, presented issues which would soon require subsequent amendment.  The Electoral College was designed to forward the highest and second highest electoral vote getters as President and Vice President respectively.  No political parties were then in existence, but divisions ignited  by the process forming the constitution already were apparent.   Thankfully the highest vote getter was the universally admired Virginian and Continental General George Washington, who received unanimous support from all state electors.  The second highest vote recipient, in the runner up position, was assigned Vice President.  Of the 12 electoral candidates receiving a vote for President, John Adams accumulated the second highest total of 34 electors, defeating John Jay, Robert Harrison, John Rutledge, John Hancock, George Clinton, Samuel Huntington, John Milton, James Armstrong, Benjamin Lincoln, and Edward Telfair.

All elected officials were intended to be sworn in on March 4th, 1789, but it was a very different country then in regards to travel and distance.  Only 8 elected Senators and 13 congressmen were present, insufficient for a quorum to certify the presidential results.  Therefore, the inauguration of the new president was delayed until official certification on April 14th.  George Washington was formally sworn in on April 30th, 1789, at the Federal Hall in City of New York, the nation’s first federal capital.  He started a tradition of  presenting an Inaugural address by the President  to the nation.  He reiterated his personal sense of obligation of service to the nation, and hope that he would be worthy of the task.  He spoke to the providential “Invisible Hand” that had guided the nation to its unique position of a free and independent people.  He lay forward his intention to promote only selfless and highly moral people to the executive that would preserve “the sacred fire of liberty and the destiny of the republican model of government“.  His first cabinet of Thomas Jefferson, Alexander Hamilton, Henry Knox, and Edmund Randolph certainly lived up to his standards.

His inauguration was met with universal celebration, and he remains the only President to have received a unanimous electoral vote for both of his two elections.

First Inauguration of the 7th President Andrew Jackson – March 4th, 1829:  The election of Andrew Jackson to the Presidency in 1828 was transcendent.  Jackson was the first president to have a massive populist electoral wave driven by the newly created Democrat Party carry him to the executive.  The result flew in the face of the previous tradition of elevating a national “elite” positioned to assume the office.  The Inauguration Day was emblematic with incredible crowds driving the inauguration proceedings into chaos.  The crowd was estimated at an incredible 20,000+ – every one of them convinced they were Jackson’s personal invite.  The swearing in ceremony was for the first time held on the East Portico of the capitol to allow for the larger crowds, but they pressed so tightly, that Jackson escaped out through the West side of the capitol riding his white steed to the White House.  The celebration grew more intense at the White House Inaugural Ball as Jackson determined  to invite all his supporters, with the throngs entering through doors and windows, accused of unruly drunkenness, smashing plates and furniture (alleged, but denied by Jackson supporters).  Jackson eventually had to escape through a side entrance to prevent being consumed by the enthusiasm.

Jackson’s inaugural address spoke to several key considerations he claimed he would adjudicate with prudence and respect.  He spoke to his willingness to accept  the limitations of the executive as it pertained to state’s rights, and a desire to observe toward native Indian tribes “a just and liberal policy, and give that humane and considerable attention to their rights and their wants with is consistent with the habits of our government and the feelings of our people”.  Jackson would belie his words in his subsequent aggressive actions toward the supporters of nullification, resulting in clashes with his Vice President John Calhoun of South Carolina and threats to “hang any insurrectionists” who defied federally legislated determinations. His abysmal policy  toward indigenous tribes including the Indian Removal Act and the forced translocation of the Cherokee tribes from their ancestral lands, resulted in violent retribution against Creek and Seminole tribes who refused to move from their ancestral lands, culminating with the ignominious “Trail of Tears” saga.

Inauguration of 9th President William Henry Harrison – March 4th, 1841:  Did an inauguration speech kill a President?  William Henry Harrison, long-time governor of the Northwest Territories, famous Indian fighter, and as the candidate of the first nationally based successful opposition national party to the Democrats, the Whigs, won the 1840 election with a national narrative not particularly in keeping with his aristocrat Virginian background.  Harrison was posited as the “rough hewn” Indian fighter, having defeated a confederation of tribes led by Tecumseh at the Battle of Tippecanoe, fought  at the confluence of the Wabash River and Tippecanoe Creek in the Indiana Territory in 1811.  The Whig campaign was driven by the successful weaving of the  narrative of Harrison as a man of the common people, by attaching the symbols of “Log Cabin and Hard Cider” firmly to Harrison. For the federalist inspired Whigs, a Harrison narrative in keeping with the mythic status of Andrew Jackson was necessary to overcome the voters’ suspicions of elites, so carefully cultivated by Jackson through his political career.  William Henry Harrison was however far afield from the curriculum vitae that defined Jackson.  Harrison was born into a family of the Virginia  landowner Tidewater Aristocracy.  His father was  a signer of the Declaration of Independence and governor of Virginia.  Harrison was highly educated and upon his successful election to the highest office in the land, wanted to use his inauguration as an opportunity to secure his association with the founder Presidents, and away from the his mythic hard scrabble persona.

Harrison proceeded to write an inaugural speech that would announce his intellectual bonafides.  He personally prepared a multi-thousand word speech intended to project classical intellectual chops and a level of endurance that would alleviate public concern regarding his advanced age of 68 , the oldest President to be elected prior to Reagan.  The Massachusetts intellect Senator Daniel Webster, who would become Harrison’s Secretary of State, was requested to edit Harrison’s self written speech, projected to run two and a half hours.  Webster was quoted as saying he had served the country by preemptively having “killed 17 Roman proconsuls” out of the speech to bring some sorely needed brevity.

Inauguration day, March 4, 1841, presented in Washington D.C, as cold, damp, and blustery.  Harrison, to complete the vision of a healthy, vigorous man up to the job despite his advanced age, proceeded to deliver the 8,445 word, one hour and 40 minute speech directly facing the elements sans coat and top hat.  Within days, he fell ill and was diagnosed as having pneumonia.  The controversy regarding the inaugural speech as the death weapon contributing to his demise only one month later on April 4th 1841,  remains in multiple official historical tomes. A more modern archival review now suggests Harrison may have essentially recovered from his pneumonia only to succumb to the quality of the WhiteHouse water supply fed by nearby fetid waters, resulting in dysentery and sepsis that ultimately ended his life and with it, the shortest administration in U.S. history.  Regardless of cause, the Harrison Inauguration serves as a cautionary lesson to verbosity in speech writing, as poor Harrison pales next to the man who gave the shortest inauguration speech ever at 135 words, George Washington himself in 1793.

First Inauguration of the 16th President Abraham Lincoln – March 4th, 1861:   It is hard to imagine higher levels of tension surrounding an inauguration then the one Abraham Lincoln had to confront upon his ascendancy to the Presidency.  The previous President James Buchanan proved an abject failure at controlling the radical secessionist fever infecting South Carolina and other states of the Deep South, leading to the formal secession of seven southern states into a self declared Confederate States of America subsequent to Lincoln’s election in 1860.  The election produced a radical split in the American electorate with Lincoln, the standard bearer of the newly formed Republican Party (founded on an anti-slavery doctrine) taking the populous northern states, the Democrat Party, irretrievably split between the Stephen Douglas Democrats espousing popular sovereignty (calamitously only securing Missouri and the District of Columbia), and the southern Democrats comprising the eventual Confederate states going to John Breckinridge, Buchanan’s Vice President.  John Bell, representing the Constitutional Union Party, further carved off Tennessee, Kentucky and Virginia.  Lincoln came out with a minority of the vote (39.7%) but a majority of the Electoral College with 180 of 303.

The election of Lincoln fueled the rabid intensity of southern dissension, which grew to the point of formal secession. Federal forts in secessionist states were viewed by the radical secessionists as “occupying forces” requiring immediate evacuation, achieved with violence, if necessary.  Lincoln, the great Western Unknown, had  risen to national prominence with his spectacular Illinois legislature anti-slavery speech  “A House Divided against itself, can not stand“,   and through brilliant debates with Douglas for the Senate in Illinois in 1858, but was considered by much of the country utterly unprepared for the coming crisis.  Lincoln, as elected leader now owned this crisis, and was presented with an impossible dilemma. Permit the unchallenged secession of the southern states and forever lose the concept of a United States, or challenge the secession forcibly by defending federal property and turn the insurrection violent beyond recovery.

As Lincoln approached Washington for the Inauguration, substantial evidence that there would be violent efforts made to stop his ascent to the Presidency abounded.    He therefore secured confidential transport through Baltimore to avoid the assailants obtaining information or access that would assist them in carrying out their acts.  This later would be framed as a “cowardly” Lincoln sneaking into Washington by disguise, but the truth was the dangerous threats were multiple, real and immediate.

With the country’s near complete unraveling framing his inauguration, Lincoln sought to the extent possible a conciliatory tone to his inauguration address, though indicating a firmness of resolve that would be foundational to his Presidency and leadership style.  He denounced the secession process as antithetical to the principles of the Union and American style republicanism, but stated that his intent was not to interfere with slavery where it already existed, nor be the first to initiate violence in the face of the insurrection.  His efforts to reach out have come down through history to us as American poetry of the highest order:

 “I am loath to close. We are not enemies, but friends. We must not be enemies.  Though passion may have strained it must not break our bonds of affection.  The mystic chords of memory, stretching from every battlefield and patriot grave to every living heart and hearthstone all over this broad land, will yet swell the chorus of the Union, when again touched, as surely they will be, by the better angle of our nature.”

Lincoln’s beautiful words would not stop the cannonade of April 12, 1861 against Fort Sumter initiating the calamitous violence and desperate sacrifice of the next four years, the horror only assuaged finally through his martyrdom by an assassin’s bullet.

Inauguration of the 19th President Rutherford Hayes – March 5th, 1877 :  For those seeing the chaos surrounding the 2020 election as a sui generis, with challenges regarding election integrity, alternate elector slates, or whether the Vice President has the power to overrule the desires of  Senate President Pro Tempore in certifying the electors, the election of 1876 leaves the 2020 election controversy in the dust for all time.

The era proceeding out of the aftermath of the Civil War and the assassination of Abraham Lincoln was defined by the dominance of aggressive radical republicans in the legislature and the unfolding process of Reconstruction of the defeated southern states.  The Constitution of the United States was amended with three revolutionary statutes – the 13th amendment abolishing slavery, the 14th securing birthright and naturalized citizenship, and the 15th assuring the right to vote for qualified male citizens, regardless of race.  The devastated south was felt by the victorious north to require both a physical and moral reconstruction, and the ability for those states to restore responsibility over their internal affairs required that they show fealty to the constitution and its new amendments.  Reconstruction money brought devoted civil servants and parasites to the South in equal measure. The initial  post-war reality was the on-boarding of radical southern republicanism, reinforced  by the newly powerful African-American populations at the ballot box and backed up and enforced by federal troops, bringing republican governments to power in the deep south.  The southern states often felt humiliated and subservient, raising almost immediately the tinder for new rebellious reactions.  The reemergence of violence, both real and threatened, made life extremely difficult for those newly freed southern populations to achieve their constitutional rights.   Reactionary forces in the South began to develop nefarious means of “restoring” what they felt was the appropriate societal hierarchy by developing obstacles to African American citizens to  engage their right to vote, serve in government and own property, the embryonic formation of what would eventually become the culture of “Jim Crow” laws.

States that  successfully repelled republican governments over time, did so through the organization of the a white supremacist leaning Democrat party, sequentially elected across the southern states to dominate all levers in state power.  By 1876, only three state governments in the south remained “unredeemed” – in other words, still in the hands of radical republican legislatures.  The states were Florida, Louisiana, and South Carolina.

Republicans had won every national election since 1860, but by 1876, a depression, the country’s exhaustion with the ongoing demands of Reconstruction, and President Grant’s determination to follow the Washington precedent and not seek a third term provided  fresh opportunity for a national  Democrat candidate to succeed.  That Democrat candidate, the Governor of New York, Samuel Tilden, a reform minded democrat in the vein of the later President Grover Cleveland, looked poised to achieve the upset.  The Republicans, tired by internecine fights, put forth a compromise candidate, Rutherford B. Hayes.  A quiet, reserved  man, Hayes was one of a line of Republicans born out of the Civil War experience.  He was of the Ohio Volunteers, a  five times wounded officer who rose to Major General during the war.  He contrasted strongly with Tilden, who had not served.  An exhausted country ripped by economic woes and ongoing havoc in the South, remained conflicted as to the best direction going forward.  The election of November, 1876, seemed to initially indicate a new beginning.  It appeared the next President was to be Samuel Tilden, having won a plural majority of 240,000 votes and 52.4% of votes cast, and a formidable  electoral college lead of 184 to 166.  The American election process however constitutionally required an electoral college majority.  In 1876, this was 185 votes and Tilden was 1 vote short. Nineteen electoral votes across four states were in doubt. The challenges and recriminations of this epically close race began almost immediately.

Four states reported contested election ballots and had to work through post election dual elector slates as to who would represent them in the electoral college.  The new western state, Oregon, determined to send a republican elector slate, leaving Tilden still one vote short and three outlying states to determine the winner.  The three states were the infamous “unredeemed” states of Louisiana, Florida, and South Carolina.  The opinion of the republican legislatures and the democrat machines that had “tallied” the votes in these states were diametrically opposed as to how massive the combination of voter fraud and voter suppression had affected the outcome.  Facing a constitutional crisis, the Congress came up with an unconstitutional solution.  An”electoral commission” was formed to put distance between the federal republican congressional majorities and the appearance of “stealing” a presidential election from the apparent winner Tilden.  The commission was comprised of 5 “elders” each from the House, Senate, and Supreme Court to adjudicate the dual elector slates, and began deliberation on January 29, 1877.  The 15 member commission had a slight “finger on the scale” of 8 Republicans and 7 Democrats, and not surprisingly the vote on each of the outlying elector slates were 8 to 7 in favor of Rutherford B. Hayes.  Due to fears of  massive violence or realization of a multitude of assassination threats toward the candidates upon  announcement  of the winner, the Commission did not publicly announce its decision delivered to Congress on January 31, 1877,  finding in favor of all contested elector slates, 19 in all, going to Rutherford B Hayes, making him the unofficial winner of the 1876 election over Tilden 185-184.  Over the  next month Congress, recognizing the appearance of a “soft coup” and looking to avoid tumult, formulated a confidential “backroom  deal” between republican and democrat teams representing Hayes and Tilden respectively to award the election to Hayes  at the cost of final removal of all federal troops from the South, specifically the “unredeemed” states. This electoral “solution” effectively ended the Reconstruction Era, thus subjecting the black minority populations of the south  to an additional  90 years of “Jim Crow” torment and restriction of their constitutionally mandated citizen rights.

The electoral result was certified by Congress March 2nd, 1877, and Rutherford B Hayes was quietly sworn in privately on March 3rd, to circumvent possible violence affecting the official public inauguration on March 5th.  On Inauguration day, Hayes spoke to his desire to lead a government that:

“guards the interests of both races carefully and equally.  It must be a government which submits loyally and heartily to the Constitution and the laws- the laws of the nation and of the states themselves – accepting and obeying the whole Constitution as it is.”

Rutherford B. Hayes was a good man, but must have recognized the likelihood of his words being realized were as feasible as a Tilden Presidency, a relic of a Constitution that simply would never have a clear solution for every eventuality, or the level of moral purity that we, the people required for a more perfect union.

First Inauguration of the 32nd President Franklin Delano Roosevelt – March 4th, 1933: The circumstances surrounding the elevation of Franklin Delano Roosevelt to the Presidency were inextricably tied to the man and the times. The country had been one of the massive winners of the twin calamities of the early 2oth century  – the Great War and the Spanish Flu epidemic that followed.  The world war had destroyed the traditional powers in Europe and devastated its populations and industry, leaving it vulnerable to extremism and violence following the Russian Revolution and rise of Communism. The thirty millions that died in the war were almost immediately subsumed by the estimated 60 million that died worldwide as a consequence of the Spanish Flu pandemic, leaving most of Europe incapable of restoring its prewar elite economies.  The United States, though impacted by the pandemic, had left the war the leading economy in the world.  A series of free market limited government presidencies led to a massive, unabashed American economic expansion, the era collectively referred to as  the Roaring Twenties.  The hangover began with a collapse in the speculative markets worldwide but historically emblazoned by the sudden American stock market collapse of October, 1929.  Although the speculative market disaster did not directly infer an economic decline, its psychological effect on an economy with too much supply and too little demand, banking strains, and progressive unemployment resulted in a progressive recession, bank closures, and ballooning unemployment without a safety net.  President Hoover, a progressive republican who believed in the many potential capabilities  in government, instituted many actions to attempt to reduce the pain for average Americans facing economic slowdown, including bank loan relief and massive injection of federal money into large job projects including roads, hospitals, waterways and dams.  His poor understanding of the impact of modern media, however,  particularly the new platform of radio, and his lack of ability to harness the platform, made him appear incoherent and insensitive in responding publicly to cascading events.  The public lost confidence in Hoover despite his enormous administrative skills , and he was crushed in the 1932 presidential election by a candidate out of the  New York Brahmin caste, a distant cousin of Theodore Roosevelt, Franklin Delano Roosevelt.

Franklin Roosevelt was destined to be a playboy  backbench politician in the shadow of his famous relative until a life altering experience in 1921.  Roosevelt was helpless in the face of a rare adult calamity when he was struck down by poliomyelitis, leaving him paralyzed and near suicidal.  He was encouraged by his wife to seek care in Warm Springs, Georgia at an innovative program to restore some mobility in children struck down by the disease.  He was forced to face his disease head-on with people completely out of his social circle and began to focus on the challenges average Americans faced every day.  He discovered that radio functioned as a medium that could cloak his disability and, accentuated by the warm timbre of his broadcast voice, convey a sense of personal empathy surpassingly well to the mass audience.

He was the first politician to align opportunity with crisis, and made very little effort to support Hoover in the transition period before his inauguration   The relative stabilization of the economy in 1932 began to slide again after the election.  By the time of the inauguration, unemployment had slid to 25% and bank failures accelerated.  Roosevelt was planning a massive governmental expansion as a mechanism to halt the slide and simultaneously secure a permanent, increased governmental role in the U.S. economy.  The desperate American population was looking for a voice that could restore some semblance of confidence to the ever-increasing chaotic decline.  For the next 12 years, it would be Franklin Roosevelt’s voice.

On March 4th,1933, Roosevelt faced the crisis head-on with a perfect synthesis of words, sounds, images and radio theater.   The nation listened with intense attention, as a national media star was born and became the face of hope for the next 12 years through non-stop crisis and challenge;

“I am certain that my fellow Americans expect that on my induction into the Presidency I will address them with a candor and a decision which the present situation of our people impel. This is preeminently the time to speak the truth, the whole truth, frankly and boldly. Nor need we shrink from honestly facing conditions in our country today. This great Nation will endure as it has endured, will revive and will prosper. So, first of all, let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is fear itself—nameless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance. In every dark hour of our national life a leadership of frankness and vigor has met with that understanding and support of the people themselves which is essential to victory. I am convinced that you will again give that support to leadership in these critical days.”

He spoke to his view of crisis management as equivalent to that in war – and a massive expansion of extra-constitutional executive power would be necessary to win such a war:

“It is to be hoped that the normal balance of executive and legislative authority may be wholly adequate to meet the unprecedented task before us. But it may be that an unprecedented demand and need for undelayed action may call for temporary departure from that normal balance of public procedure.

I am prepared under my constitutional duty to recommend the measures that a stricken nation in the midst of a stricken world may require. These measures, or such other measures as the Congress may build out of its experience and wisdom, I shall seek, within my constitutional authority, to bring to speedy adoption.

But in the event that the Congress shall fail to take one of these two courses, and in the event that the national emergency is still critical, I shall not evade the clear course of duty that will then confront me. I shall ask the Congress for the one remaining instrument to meet the crisis—broad Executive power to wage a war against the emergency, as great as the power that would be given to me if we were in fact invaded by a foreign foe.”

It is difficult to underestimate the impression Roosevelt left upon his listeners that day and with each subsequent  “fire side chat”.  Despite the many failings of his executive overreach and creation of the permanent bureaucratic state that likely extended the depression,   accompanying a subservience to traditional American isolationism that contributed to the U.S. passivity exploding the scope of later conflict,  Roosevelt’s ability to relate directly to Americans over the heads of opponents brought an unprecedented four electoral victories and colossal mandates for his vision of a government led version of the American Dream.

Inauguration of the 35th President – John Fitzgerald Kennedy – January 20th, 1961:  Its hard to describe a more forward looking inauguration then the one celebrated on January 20th, 1961.  The Presidential election of  1960 had promoted a battle between to fresh faced, energetic veterans of World War II, whose respective ages were 43 and 46 on election day, nearly half the age of our current President Biden.  The two candidates Nixon and Kennedy had more things in common then they had differences. Both were national figures politically accomplished in their 30s, Kennedy a U.S. Senator at 36 and Nixon Vice President of the United States at 39.   Both looked to the future of an American economic colossus, were fervent anti-communists,  confident international spokesmen  of the superiority of the American vision, and  free market anti-taxers.  Where they differed most dramatically was in their  skill in messaging on a new medium and its effect on the image associated with both politicians.  Just like Franklin Roosevelt mastered the medium of radio to massive political advantage, John Kennedy created a new political force, the telegenic politician. Kennedy projected articulate dynamism, vigor, and downright sex-appeal in front of the camera. The Kennedy media packaging created a confident, knowing persona that covered up a relative lack of administrative experience and depth of intellect.  The effect was profound.  Those that heard the televised  Presidential debate prior to the election on September 26, 1960, were convinced Kennedy had won the debating points.  Those who heard it on the radio were convinced Nixon was the more informed, convincing leader.  The tanned, smiling Kennedy appeared vigorous compared to the pale, wan stubbled Nixon, though it was Kennedy in real life who was braced and medicated against the ravages of previous injury and adrenal insufficiency, with  Nixon contrastingly the steadfast,  healthy alternative.

The election of 1960 was extremely close and may have turned upon some nefarious election activities in the state of Texas and Illinois.  Nixon was relatively close to Kennedy in ideals and got along with him – as such, for the sake of the turmoil it would cause,  he determined to not contest the results.  Kennedy’s January 20th inaugural was theater on the scale of Roosevelt, this time on television. with his beautiful wife and children every bit as telegenic as he was.  The Presidential family image  completed the narrative that a royal Camelot was present in staid Washington.  Kennedy took his inaugural speech  and injected epinephrine into the image of a can-do country with limitless vision and opportunity:

 “We dare not forget today that we are the heirs of that first revolution. Let the word go forth from this time and place, to friend and foe alike, that the torch has been passed to a new generation of Americans–born in this century, tempered by war, disciplined by a hard and bitter peace, proud of our ancient heritage–and unwilling to witness or permit the slow undoing of those human rights to which this nation has always been committed, and to which we are committed today at home and around the world.

Let every nation know, whether it wishes us well or ill, that we shall pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe to assure the survival and the success of liberty.

     This much we pledge–and more.”

The country hardly had begun engage the vision Kennedy promoted, when he was struck down by an assassin’s bullet on November 22, 1963.  The process martyred him,  frozen in time as the young, mighty, and confident prophet of a better future.  Subsequent decades and the eventual reporting of behind the scenes realities of his many foibles and personal flaws have done little to erase the image of what the nation saw as its own youthful vitality, only to have to face through Kennedy’s violent, premature demise, the harsh realities of an enforced more sober American Era middle age.

 

Second inauguration 47th President Donald J. Trump – January 20th, 2025:   There are many interesting vignettes regarding other inaugurations – some uplifting, others disappointing, but the grand American experiment soldiers onward.  On January 20th, 2025 we will again listen for direction from our elected executive, as he tries to frame the chaotic past eight years into a vision for the future that hopefully inspires.  Trump descended into a darkness with his first inaugural speech under a cloud artificially birthed by his political foes.  This time, he has emerged triumphant from a withering set of political attacks, legal warfare,  and death defying assaults, to lead a nation again after losing the office, the first to achieve such a political rebirth since Grover Cleveland.  Providence has made this nation pivotal, and therefore the leader representing it pivotal to defining a future of light and creativity, or darkness and conflict.

Every once in a while, the American Inauguration and the person it presents, stand bestride  the Age.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ramparts has been silent for some time. Personal priorities and external events stole the self imposed discipline needed to drive creative essays developed in solitary, to be read by only a hardy few.

Excuses aside, sometimes it takes just a little jolt to get the fires burning again. An old loyal reader in casual conversation stated, he and his wife missed Ramparts post-election essays and felt this most recent U.S. national election deserved a Ramparts revival. Revivals are not unique to America, but are part of the spontaneous combustion of renewal that envelops this country time and again. In religious terms, American revivals have been conceived as Great Awakenings, the first in the 18th century enlightenment that codified religious liberty, the second, a mid- 19th century revival that sought to restore the core message and personal relationship of individuals to God in a time of moral decline.

Politics lives in the real world where it is difficult to associate any piety to its evangelizers, or purity to the motives that drive political movements. A striking cord of revival, however, underlies the 2024 electoral season that can’t be denied. A form that harkens back to the days of the Awakenings was realized in the cast of the “large tent” rallies, where people came together not so much to be politically converted, as to feel the synergistic energy of shared belief. At a time when most political observers had assumed cynically that money dominated mass media message control had replaced the communal need for fervor or enthusiasm in search of renewal, the 2024 election stands athwart. Ramparts finds this restoration of an age old human need for meaning , a worthy subject to inspire its own reawakening.

The 2024 U.S. national election is rich with thematic treasure that will deserve in-depth treatment by historians and political scientists alike. Ramparts is as always better suited for initial, but vivid impressions. A few threads come to mind.

Trump the Invincible – Any attempt at analysis has to start with the chief protagonist of this dramatic election. Nothing creates tense fervor in a drama so much as a singular hero challenged near destruction by the coalescence of enormous hostile forces, only ultimately to be strengthened by them. Donald J Trump has faced untold efforts to destroy his political viability, much less his very existence. An incomplete list includes efforts to brand him as a traitor through deep state hoax and insurrection claims, constant media invective, a blood-lust, destruction-fueled dive into his personal life, business, and taxes meant to eliminate his wealth and destroy his stature, multiple impeachments, scores of indictments designed to impoverish and imprison, and, at its apogee , multiple assassination attempts. The last accentuated the semi-religious veneer of this flawed man. Facing near certain death with the spontaneous impulse to fight, fight, fight…drew admiration even from his detractors, and fuel-injected his ground support. The overwhelming impression was that, in the face of incredible and repeated assault, this was a man who fights to the brink of martyrdom, and would therefore fight for you. Thus was cemented an invincible, irresistible and ultimately undefeatable patina to the Trump persona. Any other interpretation as to the core contributions to his victory pales in comparison.

Diverse voters, shared concerns – In 1992, James Carville notoriously framed the presidential election with the laser focused mantra, “Its the economy, stupid!“. The discipline in message allowed Bill Clinton to defeat the incumbent George H.W. Bush, who only 18 months before the election defeat carried a 90% job approval rating. In 2024 this clarifying message to the voter was expanded by the Trump campaign into a tetrad that appealed across a culturally and race diverse electorate, casually assumed by the Democrat party to be their exclusively loyal core voting constituency. The assumption was that this constituency was forever divisible into factions permanently energized by the Democrats cynically generated race, gender, and religious categorizations and associated identity victimhood. The smug elite Democrat assumptions that tribal loyalty would remain inviolate, proved instead etherial. The Trumpian tetrad of economic woes, censorship, loss of border integrity, and an increasingly dangerous world manifested as- dare I say it- intersectional.

The tetrad political message of 2024 did not require the subjective and time limited measures of a statistical 1992 recession to focus voter interpretations. The previous four years leading to 2024 delivered hard truths as to cause and effect in judging the incumbent ticket. Massive inflation purposefully injected into the economy by 6 trillion dollars of unfettered Biden Administration spending crushed business and individuals alike. The suffering was only intensified by the callous disregard, gas lighting and irresponsibility by the incumbent administration and candidate. Censorship grew in leaps and bounds as “experts” derided free expression as “misinformation”. Suppression in social media, lawfare, and governmental obfuscation presented ominous hints of a coordinated ascendance of an elite “new world order”. The collapse of the southern border was anchored to the federal government not only by the federal government’s unwillingness to uphold the rule of the law, but in catalyzing the continuing invasion through income support, housing, medical care, and even non-citizen voting rights. This appalled citizens across the racial spectrum. The best exemplar was Starr County in Texas, a border county whose demographic makeup is 97% Hispanic. Starr County had been a Democrat voting bulwark since 1896, and as recently as 2012, had voted for the Democratic presidential candidate by a 75% margin over the Republican. In 2024, Starr County voted for Donald Trump by 57%!

Finally, the previous four years had reinvigorated the age old reminder that a progressively dangerous world requires only perceived weakness from the United States for ignition of chaos, and for authoritarians to thrive. Bellicose aggressive acts from Russia,China, and Iran through its proxies, among others, resulted in hot wars in Ukraine and the Middle East with real risk of escalation. The calamitous withdrawal from Afghanistan as a massively self inflected wound of the Biden Administration only accentuated the image of weakness and lack of competence when placing troops in harm’s way. The risk particularly resonated among minority groups that increasingly contribute to the core of U.S. armed forces, and are progressively asked to defend our interests on foreign soil. No such hostilities found succor under the previous Trump Administration , and the contrast between the candidates as to who was in a better position to lead us out of the morass grew stark.

The intersection of the tetrad resulted in marked increases in Republican support by Black males, Hispanics, Asians, White non college educated males and white Women, Indigenous people, young and first time voters, Millenials, and inconceivably, Jews and Muslims. The voting result was manifested in massive shifts towards Republican tallies in blue states and ultimately, a plurality of the national vote to Trump.

Democracy and the Candidates – The political mantra has always been present that the Democrat party holds fundamental advantages in demographics, party identity, ground game and money. The huge advantage in money remained in 2024, with the Harris campaign ultimately exceeding 1.4 billion in spend, four times the Trump campaign spend. It appears money may be able to buy you anything, but it can’t buy you love. Money proved grossly ineffective in controlling the message that ultimately persuaded voters. Harris additionally proved to be a horrendous public exponent of the message, negating the vast money difference.

Two weaknesses beyond her personal talents (or lack thereof) are worth noting. Harris’s entry into the race was an initially manufactured success, but ultimately fatally flawed. For a candidate espousing the “threat to democracy” Trump represented in his post 2020 electoral loss denialism and intransigence indirectly culminating in the calamity of January 6th, 2021 , Harris’s very presence in the race required a flagrantly undemocratic party-led coup against a sitting President, who had democratically and convincingly won the party nomination through the primary process. Kamala Harris, the candidate who had in her own Presidential race in 2020 suffered defeat before the first competitive primary absent even a single democratically earned delegate, was elevated through back room shenanigans to the position of party standard bearer. Voters found the reality of the “coup” blatantly un-American. Harris then proved inarticulate and incompetent in defending her actions as a supposed critical decision maker in the Biden Administration, while promoting a candidacy based upon vagaries of “joy”, “moving forward”, abortion until birth, transgender radicalism, celebrity, and “Fascist Trump is Hitler”. The result? – Harris did not achieve a single improved vote margin compared to Biden’s 2020 vote – in ANY county in America. I would suggest the Harris campaign and its two candidates embodied the worst campaign concoction in U.S. history.

Shockingly against perception, Trump and his inspired choice in running mates, J.D. Vance, ran one of the most innovative, disciplined and, frankly, best campaigns in American history. Trump’s undeniable talent for the old fashioned “large tent” rally was married to a remarkable performance on the new battlefield of “earned” media. The campaign took full advantage of the massive outreach to voters through long form pod casts, exposing Trump and the intelligent and articulate JD Vance to voters who normally would not be natural fits. It allowed he and Vance to articulate their tetrad of the economy, censorship, border security, and staying safe in a dangerous world in unedited and unvarnished fashion to millions of Americans through a respectful and engaging format, without mainstream media cat calls and overbearing hostility. The passion and energy of the rallies were then turned into digital soundbites, memes, and entertaining video that injected that energy and passion into the nation’s digital circulatory system. No matter what the format, the message stayed disciplined, respectful, reinforcing, and ultimately unifying. The result? – the largest Republican popular vote in history, and massive coattails extending to a majority in governors, legislatures, congress, senate and a clean sweep of all swing states.

Who’s in Charge? – Some societal forces were beyond the specifics of either candidate, but reflected positively in the perception of Trump as a authentic leader. The Covid pandemic reinforced the impression that unelected international elitists were the true determinants of a future beyond democratic control. Mandatory vaccination, comfort with anarchist free ranging violence and border dissolution juxtaposed by uncontrolled massive migration were enthusiastically engaged by anonymous bureaucrats while captive citizens were restricted in freedom of mobility, ability to secure for their families, and freedom of speech. Climate change settled science elitism put strangulating supra-national restraints on economic activity for democratic countries and third world struggling economies while blatantly allowing unfettered carbon based expansion in others. The authoritarian talking points and directives respected no national boundaries or cultural traditions. The Big Lies reached universal, international pervasiveness and dared questioning individuals to destroy themselves in denying their own rational truths – Gender is fluid, human progress is the mortal enemy of climate, race trumps merit, and freedom offends society. The concern that the world was heading toward a irrevocable dystopia that needed to be stopped inhabited the back caverns of many voters’ minds.

The final electoral straw was the storied myth of the critical and singular role of the chief executive in American democracy. A feeble and progressively senile President Biden was hidden behind a defiant,mendacious cadre of unelected decision makers that may have included a previous President. Despite the obvious evidence of several years of Biden exhibiting progressive cognitive challenges, a compliant media reinforced the perfidious facade of a president engaged critical decision making, with supposed vigorous intellectual capacity and superhuman endurance. The meme that a big lie functions more easily to manipulate a population than a insignificant one, proved true until the ridiculous charade collapsed in Biden’s disastrous cognitive performance before the nation in the summer presidential televised debate. The nation was thus presented with the incongruous spectacle of a President supposedly tasked with running a nation, but incapable of running a campaign. It was clear that whoever was making decisions for the future of the nation, inhabited neither the office or the candidate. Americans did not like what they saw, or the future it suggested.

Why do people come to America? – Massive migration without the rule of law brought out a powerful vote against the policy of open borders in many citizens that had otherwise been immigrants themselves. This stupefied Democrats who assumed that immigration was an economic decision, not a principled one. Asian and Hispanic American citizen populations, like the many immigrant populations of Europeans before them, had personally fled lands lacking individual rights, and equality before the law. They viewed America as a beacon of freedom and a refuge from oppression, and were not about to give up their hard-one rights as citizens to a horde of people who disrespected the intertwined vision of responsibility that accompanies opportunity, and thereby threatened the ideal. The founding principles of the American Experiment are apparently more imbedded than previously assumed, and a powerful renewing force for the future.

Who are the “cool kids” now? – Despite the Boomer status of both candidates, the final death knell of the self absorbed, elitist 60’s boomer generation finally met its match in the 2024 election. Celebrity elites, University professors, Social scientists, and victim culturalists proved no match for the new “cool kids” of free expression, critical analysis, and diverse backgrounds coming together in the form of podcasters, rocket scientists, settled science denialists, and Z-generation opened minded life affirmers that have nothing in common with the navel gazing, antihuman materialists of the Boomer generation and some of their easily deluded offspring. Tom Wolfe, if he were still alive, would already be writing the definitive book. The radical Framers of this nation and free thinkers that they inspired are making a comeback that bodes well for the country and its ability to self correct. All made possible by a flawed disruptor more Sam Adams than George Washington.

Revival – the rally as Incubator – A national revival seems to be underway, though the future remains, as always, unsettled , and the darker forces nowhere near surrender or submission. The radical energy of freedom however is undeniable.

For the first time the’ ‘Big Tent’ is full of people of various backgrounds, ethnicities, and walks of life acknowledging the need for a great awakening. The 2024 campaign saw both virtual and communal coming together under an all inclusive tent full of the spirit of renewal and rebirth.

Kind of exciting, kind of hopeful, for the first time in decades. Ramparts likes the possibilities…

As Again-President Trump has on occasion declared at his disruptive best, “We’ll see what happens.”

 

An ignominious defeat  awaits America in Afghanistan,  with harrowing echoes to the calamitous last days of the United States’ previous 20 year effort to militarily sustain an unsustainable government –  in South Vietnam.  President Biden, true to his democrat roots of never letting a crisis go to waste, has leveled his careful and experienced gaze on the self induced disaster befalling his erstwhile allies in Afghanistan, and has determined this is the perfect time as leader of the free world …to go on a two week summer vacation in Delaware.  Well, given Biden’s leadership  track record, defined by former Obama Administration Secretary of Defense William Gates as Biden having been wrong on essentially every major foreign policy question in the Delaware politician’s professional life, maybe both America and the Afghans are somehow better off.

At the speed by which the Taliban is summarily sweeping away the five times larger 300,000 man American and NATO  trained and equipped Afghan National Army, the likelihood of a final redoubt surrounding the capital of Kabul, and its inevitable collapse, is only days away.  The Biden Administration announced in April, 2021, that a final withdrawal of all US troops would take place by September, 2021, completing the twenty year commitment to a liberalized, and unified Afghanistan, eerily aligned to the anniversary of 9/11, and that the withdrawal would take place “in a safe, deliberate and responsible manner and with full coordination with its partners and allies in Afghanistan.”  To say the withdrawal process has fallen somewhat short of that mark would be the understatement of the century.

The Taliban, a local tribe of radical Sunni Islamic faith based on strict Sharia philosophy,  emerged as winners of the ragtag mujahideen warlord forces that had ejected the Russians and their proxy government from Kabul in 1994. They then ruled Afghanistan in ruthless tenth century fashion prior to 9/11, allowing nests of Al Qaeda to train in country and eventually base the 2001 terrorist  operation from there that ended with a catastrophic terrorist attack in America sacrificing over three thousand American lives.

A sophisticated and vengeful American military campaign in response to 9/11 then succeeded at driving the Taliban out in just four months, sending them back to the mountain caves and Pakistani redoubts from which they came.  Twenty years of American support of a “liberal” central government in Kabul followed, underwritten with  a trillion dollars of investment in Afghan infrastructure and and military buildup at one point over a 100,000 troops to pacify the country, and the cost of several thousand more American lives. President Bush lost his initial focus on Afghanistan, converted to “nation building” and became mired in Iraq.  President Obama declared the Iraq incursion a mistake and militarily refocused on Afghanistan, leaving a gaping hole that birthed ISIS.  President Trump stomped on the burgeoning ISIS caliphate in Syria and Iraq then ordered the planned ordered withdrawal of the mass of  American military consistent with his philosophy of ending “endless nation building”. President Biden looked at the whole situation – and bugged out.  Four Presidents and lack of continuity in any rational plan for determining what success would look like has led to the calamity now facing the Afghani people, and once again, the unmitigated humiliation of the United States  by a vastly inferior local force shoring more tenacity and staying power then the blundering giant out of its element.

Why does the United States post World War II continue to blunder from one military debacle to another projecting massively superior power only to become mired down, drained, and eventually defeated by local forces not remotely capable of directly taking on the U.S.?  As Shakespeare said, “The fault, dear Brutus, is not in the stars, but in ourselves.”  The United States once fashioned its military as a reluctant weapon unleashed to defend the freedoms of its citizens, a means of protecting the hard won rights of citizens to determine their own fate, evolve to their own destinies free of foreign malign threat.  Somewhere along the way, the country’s enormous success and hubris transformed the mission in injecting the American ideal of a “successful life” forcibly into other cultures with considerably different histories and principles of life.  Afghanistan as an example has been self governing since 1709, though the world has continued to insist it has no core reason to exist as a self governing country.  First the British Empire, then the Russians, and lastly the Americans have come up against the stubborn Afghani insistence that they don’t need anybody’s help in determining how to live.  The British, used to recognizing local culture as long as the Empire’s base strategic needs were achieved, came closest to achieving an eventual detente.  The Russians brutally injected godless Marxism on one of the most intensely religious cultures in the world, only to be followed by the Americans, insisted that global concepts of “democracy”, “rights” and “free markets” would be absorbed and appreciated by a culture of over a thousand years of fierce reactionary submission to a faith and way of life.  The Taliban, and the Afghan army they are so easily collapsing,  looked into America and saw nothing they wanted.  They see a corrupted country led by a enfeebled leader, that can’t tell the difference between men and women, can’t defend their own borders, don’t respect their own laws, and most egregiously, think they have the right to project forcibly their fallen virtues upon others.  They see us as an empty vessel of long neglected insights about life, easily outlasted, out maneuvered, and as fragile as a paper mâché demon.  They believe in God, a fealty to that God through a law of rigorous subservience, and laugh at the Americans love affair with materialism and feelings.   Certainly whatever brief spell the Americans may have put over on the urban Afghanis who wanted to reject their inheritance, they plan to expel with ruthless, righteous and bloody efficiency in short order.

We believers in Western ideals, the rights of man and woman, the defenders of individualism and personal destiny, need to get our own house in order or we will ultimately succumb to any malign inferior force capable of sustained resistance and push back, just as the Taliban and other groups ultimately expect. History and culture are not dusty relics of the past with no modern value, but need to be understood and built upon, not casually ignored and brushed to the side.  Rights are hard won and must be defended continuously generation to generation. The founding principles are our permanent roadmap to the exalted journey we have achieved, and must be defended against assault. Foreign lands see no reason to fight and die to achieve such hard won rights foreign to their own evolution, when the leading proponent of that victory cares so little for those rights and the sacrifices required to win and hold them, amongst their own.

It will be a bleak future for Afghanistan – but it will be their future.  It will be the tragedy of our time if we can not finally recognize this simple fact.  We now need to tend to the resistance to our own decay, and restore the reason why other people may once again look upon us as something worth striving for and some day emulating, in their own culture’s journey through life.

 

I have no idea who will win the election for the Presidency of the United States 2020.  The polls in the last week would suggest some tightening but the key swing states remain in the Biden column, or too close to call.  In a truly bizarre, unprecedented strategy to an election, the Democrat party determined that the “hate” for the persona of Donald J Trump was so great that, the best election would be Trump against generic democrat, or more specifically, Trump versus Not Trump.  Any democrat candidate with a core value would open the discussion to an actual in depth  analysis of their position on issues.  A “generic” democrat would have a marshmallow core, absent of any formed opinion other than “build back better”.  In Joseph Biden,they found a  47 year political caricature  of the ‘experienced’ Washington insider, absent of achievement, enmeshed in the process of the deep state, desperate for one last grasp for the ring and willing to represent any opinion necessary to be generic.  The supreme contrast with an over opinionated Trump could not be more stark.  At this point, Trump is holding rallies  before thousands of enthusiastic supporters who see him as the holy crusader for their personal sacrifice and ignored contribution to the fabric of American success.  Biden is holding rallies before tens of people who work for the campaign, as enormous work has gone into removing any semblance of a Biden directed future, in favor of his cloaked deep state minders that will actually reorient the future.  It is just what the Democrats and jilted insider republicans have been working tirelessly for four years.  If you see what we have done to Trump, you will be careful to stay out of the way of what we are about to do to you.

It just might work, and the money and polls are betting that the public just wants to make the constant turmoil stop.The tactic may have created a Stockholm syndrome among the voting electorate.  Just tell me what to do, to make it all go away.

But after all, this remains the national election of the most powerful, and freest nation upon the earth.  If the decision is to divest from the current leader to an unknown future, an in-depth review of what has transpired with this leader, and what would be given up,  is the mark of a sophisticated electorate. What is objectively clear and indisputable after perceptive analysis, is that Donald J Trump has been …. a very consequential President.  I’m not kidding.  Despite all the bluster of how chaotic and dysfunctional the Trump administerial style has been reported as, the results objectively reviewed are impressive, cross all the facets of judgement in both domestic and foreign policy achievements, and perhaps most amazing of all, align with candidate Trump’s 2016 promises to an unprecedented extent.  If you voted for Trump in 2016  based upon what he proposed to accomplish, you saw fruition in spades.  In four short years, under assault from almost the first day that would have dislodged and defeated a lesser man, the President has gotten it done.  It is said that Trump’s personality fundamentally is the gasoline that drives the hatred that could lose him in 2020 election.  If so, it says more of us as an electorate that can not discern the simple, telling truth, that a democracy works best on holding a politician accountable for what they do, not what they say.  Take the pugnacious Trump persona out of the equation and what is left is, one of the best four year stretches of accomplishments in decades.

America is Back :  For 20 years since the dot.com bust, the consensus by several administrations was that America was in a period of progressive economic decline and obsolescence.  America, beset with a mythic past that “covered over” foundational sins, was inherently unfair, and coolly dismissive of inequities,  was best served by accepting the decline and turning inward toward a ‘many out of one’ future – the antithesis of E Pluribus Unum.  President Obama stated the inherent contradictions would require ‘getting used to’ a moribund economy with growth of one percent or less as far as the eye could see.  Despite doubling the national debt, Obama clamped down on any economic tools that would potentially fuel an American entrepreneurial driven economic response , the only means to conceivably finance the growing burden demanded of the productive American.   Convinced of the need of America to be a global cooperator  rather than a leader,  any unique American advantages based upon its specific principles of free will and incentive would have to be suppressed.

Trump immediately drove a stake in that corruptive thinking through two massive philosophical conversions away from the mindset that strangulated business and innovation.  First, a revolutionary removal of the regulatory choke hold of government bureaucrats on business, and second, reduction of business capital gains taxes more in line with America’s competitors.  Within 18 months of attaining office, a historic American driven economic recovery was spectacularly under way,  with a unique combination of growth across all economic sectors and profound reduction in unemployment in minority populations that had heretofore been unable to share in the middle class bounty available to others. President Trump’s unyielding instruction to his negotiating teams to put America First reoriented strategy in trade agreements such as NAFTA, the Pacific Rim agreement and relations with America’s chief competitor and economic advisary, China.  The underlying goal of restoring America’s manufacturing prowess, returning supply lines for crucial supplies such as pharmaceuticals, and bringing home factories has begun to finally swing the trade pendulum back toward the US, to the benefit of the long suffering American middle class.  Then, despite a self induced sudden catastrophic contracture of the economy by greater than 30 percent overnight as a consequence of the pandemic, the media driven, unfairly derided Trump  management of the crisis upon closer objective inspection stands tall,with nearly overnight creation of logistics and restoration of resources to address the virus, emergency underwriting of individuals, small business and healthcare to prevent economic collapse, and shepherding of a manhattan-style project to formulate a vaccine through private enterprise in a previously inconceivably short period of time.   Trump has managed in two quarters, despite daunting odds, a V shaped recovery that is the envy of the rest of the world.

America is Free:  America is free to make decisions in its own interest because it is energy independent for the first time since the 1960’s.  President Trump released the Keystone pipeline for building, removed America from ludicrously unbalanced shackles of the Kyoto Agreement, unharnessed the fracking revolution from artificial suppression, and in three short years created an America that is the leading energy producer in the world and, incredibly,  a net exporter of oil and natural gas.  This spectacular turnaround has had untold positives beyond the expansion of a multi-million employment industry.  Most critically, it has released America from the choke chain of Middle Eastern despots, removing the responsibility of America to defend the oil lanes and be subservient to local toxic  entanglements.  Suddenly a way forward out of endless  spillage of American blood and treasure to mitigate Middle East conflict and Palestinian intransigence has presented itself in huge opportunities for stability in the region for the first time in decades.  And of that Kyoto Agreement? Well, America  has managed through conversion to natural gas to meet all the expectations of being a signee in regard to carbon reduction, without having its hands tied like so many of its European partners, as signees,  consigned to the impossible mandates of an agreement that leaves the largest carbon emitters, China and India, off the hook.

America is Restoring its Founding Principles:  The revolution of the enlightenment was embodied in the principles of the crafted document known as the American Constitution.  America’s unique self corrective tendencies to orient towards justice and protect the rights of individuals to self actualization was fortified by this profound document and its carefully constructed individual rights and delineated limitation of government power.  Despite the derision of the elites regarding  President Trump’s supposed superficial understanding of constitutional law and pugnacious personality, compared to many of his predecessors, he has acted with far better Constitutional instincts.  Despite demands by many opponents to act as dictator in the pandemic crisis, Trump respected the limits of federal power and allowed individual states to orient their own unique responses to the crisis.  Faced within days of entering office with a special prosecutor investigating a concocted treasonous claim devised by his corrupt election opponent and her deep state collaborators, Trump, without claiming executive privilege  as so many previous administrations had, fully cooperated in unprecedented fashion with the investigation, until progressive facts identified the nefarious goals and conspiratorial actions of his accusers.  Trump has in four short years re-oriented  the entire judicial branch of government back toward constitutional principles, bringing three originalists to the supreme court, and hundreds of  lower level judges,  in line to return the interpretation of law back to the principles of justice rather than attempting to divine intent or ‘balance the scales’ with a hand towards personal feelings.  The rights of every individual to get a fair trial based upon the presumption of objective understanding of the rule of law has received a dramatic injection.

America is a Nation again:   No promise resonated with the voting population of 2016 as did Trump’s assertion to “build the Wall” on the southern border.  The underlying reality was that a porous border with Mexico had created innumerable pathologies.  America’s generous proclivity to accept with open arms those who yearned for a better life had over the decades had deteriorated into an intolerable influx of uncontrolled invasion of masses of illegals  circumventing the requirement to accept not only American residence but American responsibilities of citizen-hood, rule of law, and community responsibility.  Border states and progressively non-border states became inundated with millions of people using services in education and health care, ignoring laws and collapsing local authority.  Big Business and Big Farming loved the influx, allowing extremely cheap labor through illegals without having to provide the other means of  benefit support associated with employment of a citizen. Jobs were either exported, or lost by citizens who had entered the legal way.  The porous border allowed massive increases in dangerous human, and especially child, trafficking,  influx of drugs , and the crime upon innocents associated with it.  Trump’s derided solution was to simply build a wall, and realize all the secondary benefits of simply returning rationality and control to immigration.  Despite massive efforts through congressional obstruction and litigation to derail the wall, 400 miles have now been built of the 700 miles recommended to restore control.  The effect has been dramatic with over 90 % reduction in illegal transit through effected communities behind the new wall.  The overall effect of course, is the increasing value of a legitimate immigration process, and the increased dignity and recognition of American values by the recipient, and markedly increased accountability to the worker by the employer  The elites who condescendingly assume that hispanics have come to America with a different set of inspirations from that driving  all previous immigrants, will be progressively shocked at how popular the re-orientation of the immigrant experience toward American freedoms and responsibilities is among the Hispanic community like all previously driven to immigrate.  Freedom accepted with an earned place in the American Dream is a bedrock of the American story.  The entire political class, Republican and Democrat alike, was paralyzed to act, until Trump came along and through sheer will, got it done.

America is a Respected Power again:  America faced an existential foreign policy crisis at the beginning of the Trump Administration.  Despite having an unrivaled military projection and prowess, American power was under siege and threat from multiple missteps and miscalculations.  The previous 16 years had left President Trump a set of  profoundly weak positions.  The entirely understandable push of the Bush administration to respond to the threat of Islamic terrorism had morphed uncontrollably into a series of endless military commitments in Iraq and Afghanistan based upon a woefully mis-guided desire to reorient the cultures of both cultures toward modern western democracies and values.  Trillions of dollars and thousands of lives had not improved the circumstances on the ground beyond the removal of a tyrant in Saddam Hussein.  The Obama administration naively  assumed the failure was in America’s lack of apology for perceived slights,  determined to restrict America’s influence through apology, and reorient control of the region to Iran,  the advisary of the Sunni Arab nations and a mortal enemy of America’s own ally, Israel.  The result of Obama’s ludicrous Iran agreement was increased belligerence of Iran despite a treaty designed to give it markedly increased hegemony, unimpeded development of ballistic missile capacity and an avenue to a nuclear weapon within ten years.  The distain  in the region was palpable and led to the pathologic rise and expansion of ISIS, the re- entry of Russian influence in the region through Syria, and a revolutionary expansion of radical Iranian influence in the person of the Revolutionary Guards led by Qasem Soleimani.

In three short years Trump has completely reversed the losing hand.  ISIS was driven back, and crushed, and its genocidal leader Al-Baghdadi killed.  Syria risked return to chemical warfare and Trump responded with a destruction of their airfield designed for delivery; Russia had mercenaries threaten American troops and Trump immediately eliminated the threat.  The disastrous Iranian deal was abrogated by Trump and sanctions returned ; Soleimani ignored Trump’s warning to stay out of Iraq  and when he ignored the warning, he was eliminated, with massive loss of face to Iran in the region   Their desperate, pathetic response was to accidentally shoot done one of their own commercial aircraft.

Trump determined to completely upend the traditional diplomacy of the middle east to demand concessions from Israel in order to get Palestinian cooperation; he simply informed the Palestinians that the world had moved on, and encouraged them to improve their position rather than demand Israel’s contrition.  The Palestinians, assuming the usual American eagerness to be seen as conciliatory,  refused.  Rather than accepting the traditional view that the Palestinian question remained the lodestone of any peace initiative,  Trump simply pivoted directly to the Arab nations progressively aligned against the threat of Iran, and worked with them to see that their self interests in a modern world would be most bountiful orienting toward a  positive relationship with the economic powerhouse Israel, rather than staying with tactics that had failed for decades.  The result is stunning – direct recognition and bilateral business relationships between three Arab states and Israel, and counting – the first substantial movement toward regional peace in three decades.

Europe, positioned to despise Trump, has been forced by him to reexamine their relationship with America and Russia.  NATO had increasingly become a paper tiger defense with nations completely abrogating their responsibility to adequately support, much less upgrade, their defense capacity.  Russia convinced Germany to become beholden to the Russians for energy needs  with the Baltic Sea pipeline.  Trump demanded that Europe meet its 2% GDP commitment to NATO, or risk ending the seventy year American commitment.  He hectored the Germans into ending their commitment to the pipeline.  He ended the laconic support of Ukraine with blankets provided by Obama in response to the Russian invasion of Eastern Ukraine and Crimea,  and provided real defensive weapons, stopping Russia’s threat to Ukraine’s survival and demanded the Europeans do their part as well to sanction bad Russian behavior.  Russia is not about to roll over in their own neighborhood but they now realize the American push has restored the European backbone.

On the Pacific rim, China for decades had sold the world on the idea that economic bounty would eventually calm its radical communist core and allow a progressively modern attitude in international relations.  Instead, for two decades China took advantage of its favorite nation trading status to steal intellectual property, maintain unequal trade deficits, ignore environmental responsibilities, decimate their Hong Kong, Uyghur and Tibetan communities,  threaten Taiwan, militarily intimidate its neighbors in the South China Sea, and corrupt American academia and politicians.  This has showed itself blatantly in their Covid deception, releasing onto the unknowing world a global pandemic, and working to gain monetary access influencing the potential next American President Joe Biden.  Trump has for decades demanded a more balanced trading relationship with China, improved behaviors,  and has been engaged in a trade war.  The result is the first time in decades that anyone has stood up to the Chinese.  The Pacific Rim countries have been the most thankful, and Trump’s contrarian approach has gotten people from both parties (excepting Biden) to take a new look.  The outcome will clearly extend beyond four years.

Trump has achieved the amazing outcome of projecting power and achieving American goals without starting a single new conflict, and closing the door on a few old ones.  For that alone, he deserves the laurels of greater Presidents.

The Cleanest President Ever:  There can be no argument against Donald Trump being the most investigated President ever.  The effort to investigate every pore of his being began even before he was President and continued every day of his Presidency.  His business relationships, international actions, taxes, personal relationships, and actions with the deep state were dissected by the opposition candidate, a special prosecutor, 10 opposition prosecutors, an impeachment committee, the FBI, the CIA,  and the entire weight of the American media – and they found….Nothing.  Not a thing. After all the viciousness and character assassination, the history books will show an opposition candidate  participated in her own dirty tricks to hide her corruption, an attempted coup from deep state ne’er do wells’, a 40 million dollar prosecutory disaster that only ended the reputation of the special prosecutor, and an impeachment attempt that ended up uncovering the actual corruption in Biden that they tried to find in Trump.  You want a President who has been vetted beyond any doubt as to his motives? You got it in Donald J Trump.

Donald J Trump, flaws and all, has proven to be one of the more consequential Presidents in history.  He deserves, more than most, another swing at the plate. I don’t know what the outcome of November 3rd(or beyond) will be, but if performance not personality is the gauge of American leadership,  then Donald J Trump should win in a landslide.  He has completely surprised me, and something I would never have said four years ago, I will say now.   I will vote for him unreservedly.

Four More Years.

 

 

 

 

 

 

If you relied on mainstream media projections of the world today, you would only know a pandemic world of shut down, economic malaise, chaos, and violence.  The leading foil for this calamitous vision is certainly the lizard king himself, President Donald John Trump.  Four years of projection of the president as a bully, ignoramus, naive tool of dictators, and incompetent has been critical to the effort to remove him from office, first, through deep state insurrection, innuendo, and then, impeachment.  Somehow the President had managed to withstand the onslaught. only to have the coup de grace, the Covid pandemic, demolish the hard won domestic victories of the first three years, and put him at the mercy of an entirely unpredictable opponent, a virus .  The promoted image of the President has been one of only superficial animal instincts and cunning –  entirely devoid of a plan, a vision, a stable direction.

The reality on the world stage is quietly one of the more effective stewardships of American foreign policy of any president in my lifetime.  The lizard king has managed on multiple fronts to create momentum that would, under any other leader of acceptable presentation to the media image makers, be seen as historic in scope.  Under assault from a huge southern border migration begun in the previous administration, threatening to permanently make the border disappear and criminal trafficking to explode, propagated by  enormous media pressure based upon a narrative of Trump as hater, the President achieved implausibly instead an almost complete stoppage in cross border illegal traffic that had evaded two previous presidents , negotiating  a “Remain in Mexico” accord with Mexico itself to halt the flow.  Trump harangued successfully NATO partners in providing more financial support for the common defense, likely saving NATO from a self induced dissolution based on largesse and detachment, and pivoting to more engaged mutual defense partnerships with Poland, India, Australia, and Japan.  Trump dramatically re-ordered the unholy marriage of climatology and globalist socialist ambitions with U.S. withdrawal from the Paris accord, and removed almost overnight American energy vulnerability with support of fracking.  The President stopped a western decades long subservience to Chinese economic malfeasance of trade imbalances and intellectual theft threatening to enucleate western economic strength and resolve. Most impressively in the Middle East, Trump in three short years succeeded at successfully moving the American Embassy to Jerusalem, reversing the calamitous Iran agreement, smashing ISIS,  and eliminating the two most implacable monsters of terror to the region, Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi and Qasem Soleimani.   Most effectively, he has managed all these achievements with a dramatic lack of commitment of military forces to new American military adventures, a first since World War II.

The above achievements alone would be an impressive foreign policy record for any President, much less one who is roundly derided as absent any intellectual depth or patience.  Now, August 13, 2020, brought an even more unexpected and spectacular achievement.  The United Arab Emirates became the first Arab nation in nearly 30 years to enter into mutual recognition with the state of Israel.  The “Abraham” accord, negotiated with the assistance of  Trump’s Middle East team led by his son in law Jared Kushner, managed to go where even the previous Egyptian and Jordanian pacts decades ago failed to go – complete bilateral recognition across diplomatic, economic, tourism and trade sectors.  The agreement has completely upended long standing notions of supposed diplomatic expertise, and opened a long closed door to real progress and peace in the region.

For decades, US and global diplomacy leaned almost entirely on Israel to concede on multiple fronts to hostile Palestinian demands in order to “affect’ an environment suitable to solving the implacable Israeli-Palestinian “problem”.   The Palestinians were viewed by the Arab and external world as the aggrieved party, with constant pressure on Israel through sanctions, UN resolutions, terrorist actions, and border wars to trade survival for etherial “recognition”.  It was considered gospel – no progress without Palestinian agreement, and no Palestinian agreement without abject Israeli surrender. Israeli doves bought into the charade – at one point Israeli Prime Minister Olmert offering to the Palestinians 95% of the West Bank, a physical connection between Gaza and the West Bank, negotiations toward some sort of refugee return to Israel Proper, and East Jerusalem as the Palestinian capital.  This nearly complete capitulation was rejected by Palestinian leader Abbas, as the underlying goal of the Palestinians was eventually restoration of all of “Palestine”.  As has become the sage saying in the across the Middle East, “the Palestinians never waste an opportunity, to waste an opportunity”.

The Trump administration saw something that had eluded the Obama Administration – the Iran threat had flipped over long standing rationalities among Arab states to shun Israel.  Iran’s revolutionary Shia desire to rout long standing Sunni  dominance in the region had led to severe destabilization of the Levant from Lebanon through Syria to Iraq, and the southern Saudi peninsula in Yemen. With the acknowledgement by Arab states that their economic global leverage on the single resource of oil was rapidly diminishing and the need to convert their economies onto 21st century platforms to survive , the 13th century basis of Iranian theocracy and radical Sunni extremism was identified as an existential threat.  Progressively the example as the way forward to the 21st century was their formerly implacable foe, Israel.  Israel had proved itself the resilient nation of the region, powerful militarily, first world in technology and economic diversity, and a worthy advisory to Iranian belligerence.  The US superpower could no longer be relied upon to be the military policeman, and Russia and China too flawed in power projection to provide any counterbalance.

The United Arab Emirates are the logical first signees to the Abraham accords.  The Emirates have presciently prepared for the post oil world by investing in a modern future.  The port at Dubai has become a world financial and trade center, a tourist mecca, and the pride of gulf development.  The spectacular achievement of the Birj Khalifa, completed in 2010 as the tallest skyscraper in the world by far, announced to the world that the Emirates were going to be players on the world stage.    Led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the United Arab Emirates have presented a challenge to their more powerful and richer neighbor Saudi Arabia and its ruler Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, that being mired in a single resource economy and rigidly tied to the past perceptions is a recipe for obsolescence and regime vulnerability.  Real earth shaking shifts in the tectonic plates of the Middle East are possible, and the UAE is unlikely to be the only Arab state that recognizes the opportunity that presents in an effective relationship with powerhouse Israel.

The Trump Administration was elected by voters who felt Washington had become sclerotic and incapable of seizing initiative in a changing world, and asked Trump to become the unbounded revolutionary for change.  He has done that and more, both domestically and internationally, and in normal times would be seen as a pivotal and historical figure.  Certainly, a Nobel Laureate for Peace.  The elites will never be able to admit they were wrong about their rigid interpretation of a changing world, or the abilities of that labile ball of energy and initiative we call President.

For the first time in many years since the martyrdom of Anwar Sadat, one can look at the most unstable corner of the world, and say, There’s a Chance…

Hopefully the American electorate is more prescient than the elites on November 3rd, and gives this amazing story an opportunity to develop a real and lasting epilogue .